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Have we seen the end of falling house prices?

Last post Tue, Jul 07 2009, 3:27 PM by ATM. 4 replies.
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  •  Fri, Jul 03 2009, 10:22 AM

    Have we seen the end of falling house prices?

    Data from Nationwide shows that UK house prices rose for the third month in a row.

    Have we seen the end of falling house prices?

    • Yes – I think we’re through the worst. (22%)
    • No – This is not over yet. (47.7%)
    • Not sure – It’s still too early to say (30.2%)
    • Total Votes: 754
    • Voting Ended: 13/07/2009

    Community
    • Post Points: 65
  •  Fri, Jul 03 2009, 10:39 AM

    Re: Have we seen the end of falling house prices?

    No.
    • Post Points: 5
  •  Fri, Jul 03 2009, 11:33 AM

    Re: Have we seen the end of falling house prices?

    It will be very patchy all around the UK for the next few years. A mixture of small falls/rises and stagnation. This is why the different monthly studies have given different results. It depends on supply of housing, stability of employment and many other factors, in every area in the country.

    Perhaps thats a not sure

    • Post Points: 5
  •  Mon, Jul 06 2009, 5:36 PM

    Re: Have we seen the end of falling house prices?

    Community:

    Data from Nationwide shows that UK house prices rose for the third month in a row.

    The housing market still has a long way to fall as the average house in the uk is still valued at around 5 times the average income. So the problem is still as it was at the peak "affordability" either house prices have to fall or incomes have to increase and in the current finacial climate of tighten your belt and pay of debt what do you think is going to happen??

    • Post Points: 5
  •  Tue, Jul 07 2009, 3:27 PM

    • ATM
    • Top 25 Contributor
    • Joined on Sat, Oct 04 2008
    • Travelling anywhere but Europe (GB ain't Europe!)
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    • Points 15,020

    Re: Have we seen the end of falling house prices?

    If the historical charts are anything to go by, I would say we are in for another drop in prices but at a slower rate than we have seen this last 18 months. I am guessing on another 10% to 20% drop by 2012.

    Reasons for my thoughts include another wave of problems with bank balance sheets starting later this year, Lenders are still not handing out mortgages, much higher unemployment to come yet, still a fair possibility of higher interest rates and if the 3.5 times earnings limit is strictly adhered to then prices will have to adjust to meet those levels unless we see first-time buyers suddenly start pulling 40% deposits out of thin air.

    If we get through the rest of this year without the economy taking another turn for the worse and the original proposed QE amount of £150 Billion is not exceeded then I would accept a 50/50 chance on the end of falling house prices.

    House prices never seem to recover in a straight line either, and normally do not see any real recovery for 1 or 2 years after the end of a recession.

    • Post Points: 35